Sunday, March 20, 2011

Wind, Snow, and Spring Break Ski Prospects

The good news is that it snowed last night and some today.  Alta-Collins picked up 8 inches overnight and another inch today.

The bad news is that it remains windy, although today was not as windy as yesterday.  The Mount Baldy site shows gusts today to about 50 mph, compared with 60+ mph yesterday.


Despite the wind, there is good skiing to be had.  We had a surprisingly good day of touring in the backcountry today where the overnight snow fell on the settled powder from Wednesday night's storm and wasn't damaged by the wind.  In fact, it was good enough that we had no problem finding the motivation for 6,000 vertical feet of climbing today.  Sometimes it pays to ski with meteorologists.

It is spring break this week at the U and, although I'll be working most of the week, I'm sure many blog readers are thinking about the prospects for deep-powder skiing.

It will be windy through tomorrow night, but there is a trough moving through that should bring periods of snow to the mountains tomorrow and tomorrow night.


Then, another trough on Wednesday night and another on Friday.



This is a medium-range forecast, so it is too early to discuss the details and timing of the snowfall that accompanies these systems, but it does look like an active week that should provide some of the white stuff.  Looking out as far as next weekend is a bit beyond my confidence limits, but I do like this quote from the National Weather Service:

"THE LATEST VERSIONS OF THE ECMWF AND GFS MODELS DIVERGE ON TIMING/DETAILS FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER..THE HEADLINE FROM BOTH MODEL SOLUTIONS IS WET AND COOL WITH A RATHER SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF PRECIP POSSIBLE."

Let's hope mother nature brings the goods suggested by our computer models.

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