| The National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesa Lab. Source: Aaron Seltzer/Getty Images. |
Earlier this year, the Trump administration moved to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). One component of that dismantling was temporarily halted earlier this week by a Federal judge in Colorado.
NCAR is run by the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR), which was founded in 1959 and is a non-profit consortium involving more than 100 institutions of higher education. In February, the National Science Foundation (under the direction of the Trump Administration) informed UCAR that it would transfer management and operations of the NCAR-Wyoming Supercomputer Center (NWSC) to a third-party operator. UCAR's lawsuit argued this was a violation of federal law. The temporary halt was imposed by after the Federal judge in Colorado decided that the transfer was arbitrary and capricious. More information is available at https://eos.org/research-and-developments/judge-blocks-nsf-from-dismantling.
This is, however, a temporary reprieve and efforts to dismantle NCAR by the Trump administration will continue. Real damage is being done to atmospheric science (and American science in general) by these and other actions by the Trump administration.
NCAR is undoubtably the leading center for atmospheric research in the world. Other major centers, like the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF), Met Office Hadley Center, or Max Plank Institute for Meteorology have more focused missions and lack the breadth of NCAR. NCAR also has strong ties to universities and provides important collaboration, education, and training opportunities for University faculty and students.
NCAR has been an important thread through my entire career. As a graduate student, I began to work with an atmospheric modeling system that was jointly developed by NCAR and Penn State University. This modeling system, known as MM4, eventually became the MM5, which was ultimately replaced by what we know today as the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF). In the early 1990s, there were only a handful of MM4 users, but by 2021 there were almost 60,000 registered users of WRF. It is used for operational forecasting (e.g., the HRRR is based on WRF), simulations of historical events to enable diagnostic calculations or sensitivity studies not possible with observations alone, and regional climate simulations. Many private sector companies use WRF.
I have also been involved in field campaigns that have used NCAR's observing systems and field program support services. The observing systems include heavily heavily instrumented Gulfstream G-V and C-130 aircraft, a polarimetric radar facility, and a variety of surface-based atmospheric sounding and profiling systems. NCAR is vitally important for field campaign management, which can be highly complex involving in some cases hundreds of scientists and students spanning institutions not just in the United States but often in many countries (and field campaigns are often international in nature and NCAR serves a critical role here as well).
I don't know how we got to a place where we are talking about dismantling a critical facility for the future of the Nation and humanity, but here we are. Given the impacts of weather-related disasters in the US, we should be investing in NCAR rather than tearing it down. Building weather and climate resiliency requires advanced knowledge and cutting-edge modeling tools. NCAR is a wise investment for a country that experiences the greatest diversity of high-impact weather in the world and a planet that is in the early stages of abrupt and rapid climate change.