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Showing posts with the label Forecasts

Winter is Coming

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I've been waiting all season to say that, but the models are trending and trending in a way that it may actually snow, not only in the mountains, but even, dare I say it, at low elevations.  Let's break things down into pieces.  I'll use the Euro and hit some of the highlights.  Overnight tonight, a strong mid-level cold front pushes through northern Utah, bringing our first round of precipitation in the form of mountain snow and valley rain.  This front is the band of heavy precipitation extending from SW Wyoming through central Utah and Arizona in the Euro forecast below valid 0900 UTC (0200 MST) tonight.   In the way of that front, moist, unstable southwesterly flow predominates late tonight, tomorrow, and tomorrow night with periods of mountain snow and snow levels near the valley floor, although official NWS forecasts are for less than an inch through Tuesday night at the lowest elevations of the Salt Lake Valley and a bit more on the benches. ...

Mother Nature Is About to Release the Hounds

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Today is probably going to be the quietist of this work week.  For the most part, it is dry, although if you peer to the west from the University of Utah, you can still see some of our dendritic friends are still falling over the Oquirrhs.   Cams from the central Wasatch also show some flakes falling, although it's not adding up to much.   Source: Alta Ski Area This is what constitutes a break in our current storm cycle.  It will persist through tomorrow morning, and then Mother Nature will release the hounds.  It doesn't matter what elevation you live at in northern Utah, you are going to be experiencing significant snows through the weekend.   Let's get to it.  First, the GFS forecast calls for a frontal system to be moving across northern Utah by 0000 UTC 10 January (5 PM Tuesday.   It is likely that this will bring all-elevation snow to northern Utah for the evening rush hour and significant snows overnight for the mountain...