Friday, December 27, 2019

No Major Storms in Northern Utah for the Rest of the Year...

Given that it's December 27, I don't think I'm sticking my neck out too far to say that there won't be any major storms in northern Utah until sometime next year. 

The pattern is one of "deja vu all over again."  The loop below begins at 1200 UTC (6 AM MST) 25 December and extends through 0600 UTC 1 January (11 PM MST 31 December).  The pattern is one featuring upper-level troughs digging along the Pacific coast and then moving inland across the southwest. 

Since graphics from the European model are now publicly available, below is the forecast of total accumulated precipitation through 0600 UTC 1 January (11 PM MST 31 December).  Utah is a state divided, with the southeastern half of the state seeing some precipitation, mainly with the trough moving through today and tonight.  Northern Utah is not completely dry, but precipitation is limited and generally near or less than 0.1 inches of water equivalent. 

Source: Pivotal Weather
Thus, nothing major for us, but we shouldn't complain.  While a major refresher is unlikely for the rest of the year, ski conditions are quite good. 

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