|Steenburgh's Intermountain Cyclone Forecast System|
Photo: Wikipedia Commons
I was encouraged to see that the NAM and the GFS were converging on a solution this morning, but that doesn't necessarily mean they were converging on the right solution. Indeed, the SREF showed that there was a lot of spread when one looked at all the available model solutions, so uncertainty remained.
So, perhaps I shouldn't be surprised when I pull up the 1800 UTC 24 Feb NAM and GFS and find that they have shoved the frontal trough and precipitation band for tomorrow afternoon back to the north compared to the 1200 UTC 24 Feb initialize runs. Oh the humanity!
|NAM forecast valid 5 PM MST 25 Feb|
|GFS forecast valid 5 PM MST 25 Feb|