Tuesday, September 10, 2019

Don't Obsess over the Outlook

Seasonal outlooks have little useful skill for skiing.  By popular demand, here's mine for the 2019/2020 season.  Basically the same as last years, with a couple of minor changes.  


I am completely comfortable telling people that we have no idea how the season is going to turn out.  Oh sure, you can find some people selling you what you want to hear, and they might get it right.  I could tell you, for example, that there's a 2/3 chance that this winter will give us near-average or above average snowfall at Alta.  Alternatively I could say there's a 2/3 chance that this winter will give us near-average or below-average snowfall at Alta. 

Pick whichever one makes you feel happy.  Don't obsess over the outlook. 

4 comments:

  1. Love this post. So True. Now where is the Steenburgh map effect showing the potential season without your presence in the US?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Colorado snow IS truly the best in the world :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Said skiers who know nothing about deep powder skiing :)

      Delete
  3. I'd respond more, but my keyboard is away from my snorkel...

    ReplyDelete