Saturday, September 28, 2019

Difficult Game Day Forecast

Tonight's game against Washington State is scheduled for 8 PM and I'm glad I don't have to give Kyle Whittingham the forecast as it is extremely challenging.

Below is the HRRR forecast valid 0300 UTC (9 PM MDT).  If this forecast validates, we'll be post-frontal at Rice-Eccles Stadium, with precipitation, in the form of showers and thunderstorms, just to the north. 

We are, however, unable to forecast the development and position of showers and thunderstorms with precision at such long lead times.  In a best case scenario, those showers and thunderstorms stay north of Rice Eccles and game conditions are fine.  In a worst case scenario, we see thunderstorms at the stadium, leading to delays and the like. 

It is worth noting that the Storm Prediction Center has us in marginal risk for organized severe storm episodes today and tonight. 

Here's their summary...see Northern UT to central WY below. 

Bottom Line: There are a range of possible weather outcomes for the game tonight do include the threat of thunderstorms that could be severe.  Much will depend on the position of the front and associated band of showers and precipitation. 

1 comment:

  1. We had a pretty good thunderstorm going over the Rich County area earlier this morning. NWS had a severe thunderstorm warning and even mentioned the possibility of tornadoes.