Source: National Hurricane Center |
The GFS sea-level pressure and wind speed (meters per second) forecast from the GFS is below and it shows the storm strengthening and broadening just southeast of Ireland, before weakening just a bit prior to landfall.
Nevertheless, the system is quite strong at landfall. The areas in yellow feature sustained winds of 28 m/s (56 knots) and orange around 35 m/s (70 knots), the latter are hurricane force. These areas are found over water. Winds are weaker over land, but still quite strong.
The Irish Meteorological Service, Met Éireann, has issued a National Weather Warning and is expecting sustained winds of 80 km/h (43 knots) and gusts in excess of 130 km/h (70 knots) in the southern half of the country.
Source: Met Éireann, 9:30 MDT 15 Oct 2017 |
The track over Scotland will take this storm over the West Higlands Way, a long distance hiking route between Glasgow and Ft William. Beautiful country, but several days of very exposed mtn and moorland, especially nr Glencoe.
ReplyDeleteWe hope hikers wisely head for the pub, or B&B