Monday, January 11, 2016

Possible Refresher Later This Week

Just in time to nip Seasonal Affective Disorder in the bud, the sun will be returning to the Salt Lake Valley today.  Although the weather forecast calls for mainly dry conditions through Wednesday, the models are suggesting a shift to a more active pattern later in the week with some modest accumulations to keep things fresh.  For example, our NAEFS ensemble guidance for Alta-Collins shows most members generating about 1-1.5 inches of water equivalent from 0000 UTC on the 14th to 0000 UTC on the 18th, although there are differences in timing and storm intensity.  Pessimists will find one dry member and optimists will find one wet member, but realists will simply look at the spread and recognize that the odds of enough snow to refreshen the backcountry are fairly decent and that this warrants another look in a couple of days.

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