Looks like a beautiful sunrise up in the Wasatch this morning, with a dusting of snow covering the mid and upper elevations.
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| Source: Snowbird |
More September snow is in the way, although this is a fairly tricky forecast because the front that will drive our next round of precipitation is expected to slow and pivot as it moves into northwest Utah.
This results in challenges in both the timing and amount of precipitation expected. This does, however, look to be an event that will produce some additional mid- and upper-elevation snowfall.
Most members of our downscaled SREF product are generating 0.4 to 0.8 inches of water equivalent for the event, with a mean of just over a half inch. Note that there are contrasts in timing with some members getting things started Thursday afternoon, others later Thursday or Thursday night.
By and large, this looks to be a "dust on dirt" event, with perhaps 2-5 inches of snow for a storm total at Alta. If that comes through, it would be our biggest storm of the season so far, good for tourism promotion, but otherwise a nuisance for hiking and other fall persuits. There's a chance of more, but the odds of more than say 8" are low. Bottom line: My skis remain in the rack.
Indeed life is improving.
ReplyDeleteCan you point me to where the GFS loop is, can't find it on my own.
Thanks
That's not a web-based product. It's something I generate on my desktop.
DeleteOther GFS loops are available at weather.utah.edu.
Ahhh, that explains why I couldn't find it.
DeleteMaybe this creates an opportune time to ask another in a long series of favors.
Do you have an explanation of the loops that appear on the main page of weather.utah.edu. They look to be NAM.
The lower right I think is 3 hour accumulated precip.
The upper right has "500mb ht(m)" which must have something to do with the 500mb (~18,000 feet) flow.
The lower left is 800-500 mb RH, 700 mb Temp, looks like wind is in there too. Relative humidity and temperature? Greens are humidity, tans are temp C? There's some purple in there as I write this ...
The upper left is not so clear, press (mb), wind 5 m/s, ... something to do w pressure and wind speed.
A meteorology 101 question. I get most of what I need from the precip graphic, but I've always been curious about the others.
Looks like purple is ocean, brown is land.
DeleteClick GFS-0.5deg in the LH nav bar and whatever region that you want. You can navigate through various models and products in this manner.
Delete