Wednesday, August 8, 2018

My Seasonal Outlook

The Silly Season is upon us when prognosticators spouting an alphabet soup of climate phenomena (e.g., ENSO, PDO, NAO, etc.) make claims for what this ski season will be like.

As far as northern Utah is concerned, ignore all this crap.  The correlations are low.  The useful skill is non-existent.  Yeah, I know there is a 70% chance of El Nino.  Who cares.  Nobody knows what kind of ski season the Wasatch are going to have.  Nobody.  This is why I call it the silly season

Here's my official forecast, previewed on twitter a couple of weeks ago.

There, I feel better now.


  1. question: What if you took the Wasatch and put in the UP of Michigan, what kind of annual snowfall amounts would we be talking? 700-800"?

    1. Fun question, but I don't deal with hypotheticals :-). Perhaps the best example blend of frequent lake/sea effect and big terrain is western Japan and they get a ton of snow. Sukayu Onsen in the Hakk┼Źda Mountains averages nearly 700 inches annually.

  2. What are we possibly looking to see in Georgia?