Ketchikan, Alaska is known for two things: salmon and rain. I know this well as I have been here several times visiting family. The combination of wind and rain often makes it feel like you are living in a car wash. Ketchikan, which is located on the inland passage in southeast Alaska, has fully embraced it's status at the Rain City . It proudly displays a "liquid sunshine gauge" on the boat dock showing just how wet it is. A closeup shows that they claim an average rainfall of 12.5 ft (150") per year. That's a lot of rain and, perhaps not surprisingly, Ketchikan is widely promoted as the rainiest city in America (e.g., destimationalaska.com ). Being a meteorologist, I began to wonder if this was really the case. There are the usual challenges in evaluating such a claim. What is meant by a city? What is the period of record? Is the data reliable? Etc... For the purposes of this post, we'll concentrate on clima...
For fun I'm going to mark their forecast for April 28th each day for SLC and see how large a spread their 25 days yield. Ideally I want to see their next day forecasts entered into wxchallenge.
ReplyDeleteI find the whole idea completely laughable. Unfortunately, there will be some uneducated users that actually heed these forecasts. Then, when they inevitably realize how completely useless the ultra-extended forecast is, the entire meteorological community will get blamed. Thanks for nothing, AccuWeather. How very irresponsible! Money is driving this product, not science.
ReplyDeleteWoe to the makers of this! I can hear it now... 'Coming up, Bob with his 47-day forecast...' -Grant W
ReplyDeleteDid not take long at all for them to guarantee at least one busted forecast.
ReplyDeleteAccuweather's forecasts for April 28th (Salt Lake City)
April 4th (forecast for day 25): 69/46/partial sunshine
April 5th (forecast for day 24): 69/46/partial sunshine
April 6th (forecast for day 23): 55/39/rain/.59inches