Wednesday, November 23, 2011

This Forecast Is a Turkey for Skiers

We've gotten off to a decent start for the ski season, but conditions remain marginal.  The latest forecasts suggest that our best chance for snow this holiday weekend will be Friday when a weak short-wave trough brushes by us to the north.  As things stand now, one computer model thinks it will be a weak event, the other a non event.

Global Forecast System (GFS) forecast valid
11 AM MST Friday 25 Nov 2011.
North American Mesoscale (NAM) model forecast valid
11 AM MST Friday 25 Nov 2011.
After the weak event on Friday, a high-amplitude ridge builds over Utah.

GFS forecast valid 11 AM MST Sunday 27 Nov 2011.
That means it will be sunny and warm in the mountains.  In other words, beautiful weather and great travel conditions, but I'd like to have some fresh powder for which to give thanks this weekend.

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