The Week Ahead

The anticipated transition to a somewhat drier pattern appears to be underway, although the models are still advertising some snow showers this week.  I'll summarize with the 7-day GFS-derived forecast guidance for Little Cottonwood which shows a few dribs and drabs at times Monday night through Wednesday, then a break until the next system comes in on Saturday night.  Total water 0.6" and total snow 10", which would be about half of average for this time of year.  

Those numbers are in line with a super majority of the downscaled NAEFS ensemble members which are heavily clustered between about 0.25 and 0.6" of water and 5 to 12" of snow.  

There are, however, a few members going bigger.  There's always hope for more.  

The good news is it looks cool so ski conditions should remain generally good, even if a big refresh doesn't happen.  I confess that I feel very spoiled by the last several weeks and feeling a little disappointed.  Lol.