Storm for the South

The past few days I've been watching the models closely to see if the southern-branch storm that will bring some snow to the upper elevations of central and southern Utah tonight and tomorrow might give some love to the central Wasatch.  

Every now and then the models give a glimmer of hope, but the latest GFS keeps the precip to the south.  Most impressive with this storm is the very sharp transition in relative humidity and precipitation southeast of the central Wasatch.  

This is consistent with the vast majority of downscaled SREF members, 21 of which give little to no precipitation for Alta-Collins. 

If you must cling to hope, there are 4 that give around 4-5 inches and one that gives just over 8.  There's also the Euro, which does bring precip into Salt Lake County tomorrow morning.  

Source: pivotalweather.com

So, this really is a forecast of location, location, location.  If the storm stays to the south, it's probably a complete shutout.  If it shunts a bit northward, there could be some light accumulations late tonight or tomorrow morning.