The physicist Niels Bohr once said that "prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future" and that is very evident when looking at the latest Utah Snow Ensemble (USE) plume for Alta-Collins. The 82 members of the USE show remarkable spread for total water equivalent and snowfall over the next 10 days ranging from nearly zilch to about 2.5" water/38" of snow.
The period features three storm systems and the 82 members can't seem to show much agreement in the intensity and timing of snowfall associated with each of them.
We'll likely to be in a better place at the end of the 10-day period than we are now (it helps that the bar is set so low), but don't try to pin me down on details such as should I get a parking reservation at Alta for Friday, Saturday, or Sunday. The first system moves through Thursday night and Friday, and the second Saturday night into Sunday, but I don't have any confidence concerning how much each of them will produce.
Your guess is as good as mine.
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