Below is the basin-wide percent of average snowpack analysis for the western U.S. from the NRCS. These numbers are simply heinous for most of the west. Only portions of Colorado and SE Wyoming are near average (the high numbers in SE Utah are either spurious or the result of what we call the "statistics of small numbers" — there's very little snow there).
In the Sierra and Cascades, the snowpack is non-existent or <10% of average in most basins. One plus is that with no low-elevation snow, access to higher elevation tours is much easier than it typically is in May. For example, the road to the South Climb Trailhead on Mt. Adams is melted out. The climber's report suggests you'll find snow starting at 6100 feet.
Averages can be deceiving. Let's instead look at the actual water equivalent of the snowpack. No matter where you are, given the warmth of this past winter, if you want to find snow, you need to get high. Specifically, you need to look to the upper elevations of the North Cascades, Montana, Wyoming, and Colorado. The Cascade Volcanoes will probably work too, although those aren't sampled by SNOTEL.
Source: NRCS |
In Colorado, the snowpack SWEs are not as high as found in other areas, but they have a healthy snowpack near or above average at upper elevations along the Continental Divide from Independence Pass to Niwot Ridge. The plot below shows only only SNOTELs above 10,000 ft, with green signifying 90-110% of average, light blue 110-125% of average, medium blue 125-150% of average, and dark blue 150-175% of average.
Source: CBRFC |
So, all is not lost. There's not a lot of snow to be had in Utah. Upper elevations of the Cottonwoods are about your best bet. Road tripping and getting high will get you turns elsewhere. In some instances, access may actually be easier than it typically is this time of year.
No comments:
Post a Comment