Thursday, May 19, 2016

A Little "Love" from the Storm Prediction Center

The Storm Prediction Center is giving northern Utah a little love, putting us in the marginal risk category for severe thunderstorms for today and tonight.

Source: SPC
The impetus for this is the expected late-day increase in thunderstorms near and along the cold front, combined with a deep boundary layer and strong low-level flow that could allow some storms to organize and produce strong to severe wind gusts and hail.  These storm-environment characteristics show up fairly well in the NAM sounding for 2300 UTC (5 PM MDT) this afternoon.
A marginal risk means that these severe storms would be limited in organization and longevity, or low in coverage and marginal in intensity.  Thus, not everyone will see a severe storm, but you should keep an eye on the weather.

1 comment:

  1. After being breezy all day I thought the storms weren't going to happen - until they finally got organized around 7:30pm.