Our recent storm cycle has pushed the mountain snowpack to about as close to median as you can get in northern Utah. Per the latest SNOTEL observations, northern Utah basins are sitting anywhere from 90 to 107% of median snowpack water equivalent.
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| Source: NRCS |
The situation becomes grimmer over central and southern Utah, but I have cut that off in the plot above because who wants bad news these days.
We should add a bit more to the northern Utah mountain snowpack over the next few days as we're in what I'll call a "scrappy" west to northwest flow through Tuesday, meaning the mountains will squeeze out a bit of snow from time to time, and then another storm system rolls in later in the week. As is often the case, the US GEFS ensemble is a bit wetter than the European Ensemble (ENS), but through 0000 UTC 22 February (5 PM Friday), the middle 50% of the Utah Snow Ensemble is generating 1.04–1.66" of water and 14-24" of snow for Alta-Collins. Spread is greatest for the storm later in the week when the US GEFS ensemble is more bullish than the European. Take a wait and see attitude for that one.
51 f Monday and Tuesday? 😫😫
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