|Source: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center|
I don't have a crystal ball capable of anticipating whether or not we will get into the stormy period that is needed to help us catch up and obtain an average end-of-year snowpack. The trough coming in later this week and weekend will help the southwest some, but what is sorely needed is a major pattern shift or a major storm cycle like the 2001 Hundred Inch Storm. At Snowbird, for example, we need about six inches of SWE just to catch up to average snowpack for this time of year. Making up ground like that is not impossible, but the odds are decreasing markedly as we move to later and later in the cool season.