RRFS Operationalization Postponed (Again)
The operational implementation of the Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS) and RRFS Ensemble Forecast System (REFS) has been postponed again to November 3rd. That operationalization also includes sunsetting several ancient NCEP forecast systems including the NAM, HREF, SREF, and HiresW. Those modeling systems will live for a few more days. Per the NCEP Service Change Notice Update released on October 15, the delay is to include changes to precipitation type products produced during model postprocessing due to overforecasting of freezing rain and underforecasting of ice pellets. These are issues that have been a thorn in my side for the HRRR and RRFS snow products for some time. In the case of overforecasting freezing rain, we've seen this frequently in the HRRR and the RRFS. An example is below. Apologies for the lack of a map, but the black circle is Alta and the area of pink , purple, and light blue around it denotes an area of fo...