Friday, May 8, 2015

How About Some More Late Season Snow?

We didn't get much mountain snow during the winter, but how about in May?  In addition to the smearing of high-elevation snow, graupel, ice pellets, and hail the past couple of days, we have more convective storms on tap for today and tonight.  Then, for tomorrow, the models are generating a healthy precipitation band over northeast and central Utah.  Below is the NAM forecast valid 1800 UTC (1200 MDT) tomorrow.

What happens in the Cottonwoods will depend a lot on where storms pop up and if and how that precipitation band comes together, but there's a decent chance there will be some white stuff for Snowbird's closing weekend.  The models are actually generating a lot of precipitation and high-elevation snow.  I see this as a scenario where there's a wide range of possibilities from a few inches through tomorrow afternoon, much of it heavy creamy stuff, to perhaps a foot plus if the band really comes together.  I'll be keeping an eye on the sky and may go for a tour.

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