El Nino to Return?

Source: NOAA/Climate Prediction Center

Lots of hedging still in the forecast as it is hard to predict El Nino at this lead time (historically, El Nino predictions are more uncertain when made in the spring).  Of course, for the Wasatch, it doesn't provide us much predictive skill, as we discussed in the fall (see Outlook for the 2013–14 Ski Season).  On the other hand, if El Nino does end up going big, then the southwest might finally get some badly needed precipitation.  We should know more by summer.