tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6168620747792092240.post3448316288249794233..comments2024-03-27T15:09:59.039-06:00Comments on Wasatch Weather Weenies: How about Something DifferentJim Shttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15799757451626876963noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6168620747792092240.post-19496486249581022862022-11-06T16:39:43.654-07:002022-11-06T16:39:43.654-07:00Yes, I was in the vicinity and experience the rime...Yes, I was in the vicinity and experience the rime/drizzle. Rime/drizzle can happen at temperatures below freezing, as was the case today. It is a myth that water freezes at "freezing." May do a post on this. Jim Shttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15799757451626876963noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6168620747792092240.post-22487351509876541892022-11-06T14:56:40.898-07:002022-11-06T14:56:40.898-07:00GFS has the initial phase of the storm warmer than...GFS has the initial phase of the storm warmer than a couple days ago. Wetbulbzero 8200 feet Tuesday 6am. Scuttle was you were in the Catherines area today (Sunday), did you notice the rime/rain event around 1pm (mountain standard). I would say it was drizzling at 10,500 feet. Seems like rain/snow line was a lot higher yesterday than GFS advertised. Tempted to believe climate change is happening now but we are in early November so higher rain is to be expected. Timing of when the flow changes from south to west northwest seems to be important in wetbulbzero. Feel free to offer comforting analysis of how the storm will be cold and snow will fall at low elevation.Peter Donnerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07658400081780668829noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6168620747792092240.post-88252720255637691432022-11-04T16:54:38.318-06:002022-11-04T16:54:38.318-06:00Yeah, that would be a game changer as we would hav...Yeah, that would be a game changer as we would have a hell of an early November snowpack if it verifies.<br /><br />There is still quite a bit of scatter in the various models and ensembles for that storm. We're dealing with a digging trough on the west coast and a lot will depend on its amplitude and track, as well as the position of the front that may develop over the Great Basin. If you look at the NAEFS, for example, there are some members that are flatlined (little to no precip) during that period, whereas others are generating a substantial amount of water and snow. <br /><br />I'm not picking a winner yet and I'm living by my motto (the key to a happy life is low expectations). Jim Shttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15799757451626876963noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6168620747792092240.post-7096284242440581432022-11-04T15:45:43.126-06:002022-11-04T15:45:43.126-06:00What do you make of the Tuesday storm where GFS ha...What do you make of the Tuesday storm where GFS has Collins cum snow increasing from 12 inches Tuesday 2am to 43 inches Thursday 2am—30 inches in 48 hours. Wetbulbzero falling to valley floor Tuesday 6am. Mean of the NAEFS plume has 4 inches in Salt Lake City which could begin to bring lower elevation in. The U looks like 7 inches. If this verifies we will all be VERY HAPPYPeter Donnerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07658400081780668829noreply@blogger.com