tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6168620747792092240.post3498044499116876747..comments2024-03-27T15:09:59.039-06:00Comments on Wasatch Weather Weenies: The Devil Is in the DetailsJim Shttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15799757451626876963noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6168620747792092240.post-24217626645245527682018-02-28T23:13:14.184-07:002018-02-28T23:13:14.184-07:00For others who may be getting lost like me in the ...For others who may be getting lost like me in the acronym soup, I found this decoder list useful.<br /><br />http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/acronyms.phpAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6168620747792092240.post-72445641012640940922018-02-28T16:29:13.553-07:002018-02-28T16:29:13.553-07:00I'm hearing most of the models are now saying ...I'm hearing most of the models are now saying the cold front could stall to our north and the snow will hold off until later.<br /><br />With that said, do you think Saturday will be a powder day in the central Wasatch?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6168620747792092240.post-84680669162756159432018-02-28T11:41:58.712-07:002018-02-28T11:41:58.712-07:00The bug is fixed, which means that the data being ...The bug is fixed, which means that the data being extracted out of the GFS is right. This does not mean that the GFS isn't biased.<br /><br />We did some validation work last winter and found that on average the GFS produces about 50% more precipitation than observed at the Snowbird SNOTEL. <br /><br />JimJim Shttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15799757451626876963noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6168620747792092240.post-87918974400721064142018-02-28T10:47:44.536-07:002018-02-28T10:47:44.536-07:00Yeah!! The GFS is back on the LCC guidance page w...Yeah!! The GFS is back on the LCC guidance page w 3 feet of snow by Saturday and 4 feet of snow by Sunday.<br /><br />Guess we'll know if it continues to be a dream come Monday, like before you took it away. At that time it consistently over-forecasted by a factor of 2 or 3.<br /><br />You seem confident the bug has been corrected. Think you'll leave it up if it continues to provide erroneously high forecasts by a factor of 2 or 3? Of course, if we actually do get 4 feet at Alta by Sunday, then maybe the bug actually did get fixed. Probably you'll give it a few storms to see how bad the high error is. I must say I always enjoyed looking at the GFS forecasting feet, knowing not to be let down when inches or a trace showed up.Peter Donnernoreply@blogger.com