Tuesday, August 22, 2017

Weak Monsoon Surge Today

A tip of the hat to the astronomers for getting yesterday's forecast right.  It was a great day for science.  Much thanks from the weather guessers.

And, speaking of the weather, keep your fingers crossed that we see some hydrometeors today.  We have a weak monsoon surge pushing in from the south, with moisture on the increase.  The NAM analysis and forecast loop below shows cloud cover and precipitable water values on the increase overnight and today for northern Utah.


The HRRR forecast for later today shows scattered showers and thunderstorms across northern Utah and Nevada.


The chaotic nature of atmospheric convection prevents us from precisely predicting the location and intensity of those showers, but let's hope they deliver.  A bit of rain later today and evening would be greatly welcomed.

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