At the moment, the heaviest mountain snows are probably falling in the Ruby Mountains near Elko where the frontal precipitation band is presently located.
The forecast for northern Utah is quite difficult for a few reasons. First, our computer models have produced dramatically different solutions for tonight and tomorrow over the past few days. Second, we have the potential for lake effect, which is always a wildcard. The latest (1200 UTC initialized) NAM calls for precipitation to move into the Wasatch Front this evening, followed by persistent northwesterly 700-mb flow through tomorrow morning.
|1200 UTC 4 Nov 2011 initialized NAM forecast valid 1200 UTC|
(0600 UTC) 5 Nov 2011
One issue for our plans, however, is that the Doppler on Wheels was in San Francisco yesterday for a public exhibition and got stuck west of the Sierra when they closed Donner Pass. The pass is now open, but we'll have to see how quickly the DOW will get to Salt Lake.
Note for University of Utah students: We will have a meeting @ 12:30 pm today in 711 WBB to discuss observing plans for tonight and tomorrow. We may be deploying our mobile sounding units, mobile mesonet, and the DOW.